As we look forward to 2004,
builders and homeowners across the country can reflect on 2003, a banner
year for the home building and remodeling industry. Home sales and consumer
spending were the linchpins for the economy when growth slowed in late
2002 and early 2003, and a strong finish to what was a record-breaking
year for home sales bodes well for 2004.
Single family homes sold briskly
throughout 2003, and the National Association of Home Builders expects
that once all of the data is tabulated, sales of new single-family homes
will top more than one million units in 2003, a gain of 11 percent from
the 2002 record of 977,000 sales, largely thanks to favorable mortgage
rates and solid gains in house values. Single-family housing starts in
2003 likely will break another record, if the total exceeds 1.84 million
units as anticipated.
However, the year's gains
were not limited to single-family homes. According to a report released
13 percent during the first nine months of 2003 and that upward trend
is expected to continue. Professional remodelers also continued to enjoy
strong demand for their services in 2003, due to many of the same factors
that bolstered new-home sales, including low interest rates and rising
home values.
In 2004, home building is expected
to remain a strong contributor to the U.S. economy. Many indications point
to a continuously solid housing market; mortgage rates in the 6-percent
range, increasing consumer confidence and impressive house-price performance
likely will continue to work together to support the housing industry
throughout the new year.
What exactly does this mean
for consumers? First of all, the housing boom spells good things ahead
for the economy as a whole. An economic powerhouse, the housing industry
is estimated to account for a robust 14 percent of the country's
overall GDP, creating millions of jobs and generating billions of dollars
in tax revenue each year. Additionally, a spike in the production of new
homes encourages consumer spending on related items, such as appliances,
furnishings, home décor and home improvements.
Also, the strong new-homes
market offers an ongoing opportunity for more Americans to achieve the
dream of homeownership. A substantial influx of immigrants, along with
the growing importance of minorities and 'echo boomers' (the
children of baby boomers) can boost the share of housing production targeted
to entry-level buyers.
The future of the housing industry
is bright.
(Mac McKinney, who is owner
and president of McKinney Builders Inc., is president of the Home Builders
Association of Midwest Georgia, which serves a membership of approximately
550 builders and associate members in Fayette, Coweta, Spalding, Meriwether,
Heard, Pike, Upson, Lamar, Butts and Jasper counties.)
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