It's telling what makes front
page news these days. Recently, this headline appeared on the front page
of the Washington Post: "GOP Eyes Tax Cuts as Annual Events."
The Post story reports that
the Bush administration may actually be considering pushing for a tax
cut each year, big news in the nation's capital.
Why? To put it in perspective,
it wouldn't be a story at all, much less a front page story, if the Bush
administration announced it was going to make spending increases on any
particular government program an annual event.
After all, in Washington and
in state capitals and city halls around the country, that's just the way
it's done. And in the minds of many, that's the way it always has been
and always will be, and to suggest anything to the contrary is something
both irresponsible and radical. It's the paradigm we're in, and anyone
who dares think outside that box is truly a heretic in modern political
culture.
The gospel of ever-increasing
government spending is being practiced with the fervor of a tent revival.
As detailed in a recent SBSC report on state spending authored by our
chief economist, Raymond Keating, state and local spending alone nationally
increased from 1992-2000 by almost 40 percent, some two and half times
the rate of inflation.
As result, spending was $1000
per person or some $271 billion more in 2000 than if spending increases
had been held to inflation. Federal spending has also been increasing
along the same lines.
State spending has increased
so fast, state governments can't even catch up. Forty-seven states entered
the year facing budget deficits, and the shortfall is so great that the
U.S. Senate voted to borrow $20 billion (which we'll all be paying interest
on for decades) to help bail them out.
In most of these states, the
idea of even slowing down spending, much less rolling it back, is regarded
as a dangerous heresy.
In Minnesota, which spends
more per person than just three other states, new Governor Tim Pawlenty
is standing by his no-new-taxes campaign pledge and is shrinking the growth
of state spending to 5 percent to keep that pledge. This seemingly modest
move has been blasted as a "radical departure from Minnesota's values
and traditions" by the state's largest newspaper.
The Pawlenty plan also drew
fire from a bipartisan group of four former Minnesota governors who actually
argued that a tax increase was the only way to keep the state's economy
growing.
Former Republican Governor
Arne Carlson, himself a tax raiser, argued, "You have to protect
the infrastructure that allows you to drive economic growth." Of
course, if Minnesota state spending returned to the levels of the last
year of the Carlson administration in 1998, it would be roughly a third
less than it is now, which he would consider to be irresponsibly low today.
In New York, which spends more
per person on state and local government than all but one state, a Republican
Senate and Democrat-controlled Assembly teamed up to override Gov. Patacki's
veto of a tax increase. If the veto had been sustained, New York state
spending would have been "radically" reduced by less than 1
percent.
The good news is this nation
is moving towards a new way of thinking at least when it comes to the
level of taxation.
Around the country, voters
in even the traditionally highest taxed states such as Minnesota, New
Mexico, Rhode Island, Vermont, Hawaii and Maryland have elected new leadership
which is publicly committed to, and for the most part is, keeping commitments
to keep the lid on taxes in the face of the cries and lamentations of
old guard politicians, newspaper editorial boards, lobbyists and flogging
ad campaigns from various labor unions.
In Oregon, where state and
local spending per person is the seventh highest in the country, state
lawmakers who were afraid to raise taxes themselves put a tax increase
on a statewide ballot and loaded the deck by legislating automatic cuts
in popular programs such as police protection and nursing homes should
it fail. It did.
And for the most part, politicians
who are sticking to their no-new-taxes pledges are faring better in the
polls than tax-hiking governors, such as California's Gray Davis, who
is pushing an $8 billion tax hike, and finds his public approval has slipped
to a lowly 24 percent.
The bad news is that real,
long-term tax reduction requires actual reductions in spending, and seemingly
no one, even the Bush administration, is publicly thinking that far out
of the box.
Those who do make that argument
are now regarded as crazy, kind of like those radicals who once argued
that we should try to roll back communism, or end welfare as we know it.
Minnesota's Pawlenty, for example,
is staunchly standing his ground in defense of his no-new-taxes pledge,
but offers the consolation that he doesn't actually see deep tax cuts
or a move to cut spending in the future.
In the Washington Post story,
NFIB Vice President Dan Danner dismissed the idea of annual tax cuts during
the Bush years as "not very realistic."
But in reality, a political
shift on spending may not be as far off with the public. The dramatic
growth in support for politicians who pledge not to raise taxes, a once
radical notion initiated by Americans for Tax Reforms' Grover Norquist
less than 20 years ago, has spread like wildfire and has fundamentally
transformed the debate in Washington where most of the highest profile
critics of the 2001 Bush tax won't speak of repealing it. And, it's quickly
taking hold in state capitols as well.
It's taken hold for two reasons.
First, more and more people
simply don't see any marginal benefit in additional spending. In some
states, they've seen state budgets double without any noticeable improvement
in schools, roads, police protection or other fundamental services. And
in cases such as welfare spending, they've seen increased spending lead
to real harm.
Second, there is a growing
reawakening among the public that government is not the sole benefactor
of the public good. There is an increasing recognition that other institutions
such as the family, businesses, churches and charities also play key roles,
and that government spending competes for dollars with these institutions.
It is this second reason that
holds the key to arguing for actual reductions in the size of government.
Politicians and reformers need to learn to frame the debate on these terms.
They need to understand and point out that small businesses are the first
department of economic development. The family car is the first department
of transportation. That families, churches, and charities are key providers
of health, education, and welfare.
When the public and the politicians
begin to see government as a competitor, rather than the only source,
for funding, the spending debate will change.
When politicians begin to articulate
that every additional dollar spent by government comes at the expense
of the rest of the social infrastructure, that the choice is not one of
spending more or doing nothing, then perhaps they can start sticking their
heads outside the current spending box.
Now that would be front page
news.
[Darrell McKigney is president
of the Small Business Survival Committee, a national nonpartisan small
business advocacy organization. Find out more at www.sbsc.org.]






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