Fayette County's population
growth rate slowed last year to its lowest in years, while Coweta County's
numbers surpassed its neighbor to the east for the first time since the
1980s, according to estimates released this week by the U.S. Census Bureau.
During the period from July
1, 2001 to July 1, 2002, Fayette County added just 2,033 people, the Census
estimated, for a growth rate of 2.1 percent.
Fayette's population was estimated
at 96,611 on July 1 last year. Coweta County's was 97,771, for a growth
rate of 3.7 percent over the previous year.
Fayette County Commission Chairman
Greg Dunn believes Fayette's growth rate is just about right.
"I think the growth rate
has kept up with our infrastructure," he said.
The County Commission has been
known in the past few years for slow groth policies, and the Census figures
seem to back up the county's policy.
Coweta added 3,699 people during
the period, the Census said.
Georgia's most populous county,
Fulton, registered near zero growth during the period, according to Census
estimates, even while residential construction continued at a healthy
clip in the south end of the county. The Census said Fulton had just 254
net population gain, to 825,431.
Fulton's stagnant growth was
mirrored in many of the state's largest urban counties. Both Columbus-Muscogee
County and Augusta-Richmond County lost population during the year, while
DeKalb and Chatham, like Fulton, had negligible growth.
But three Metro Atlanta "exurban"
counties, including one Southside county, continued to rank among the
top 10 fastest growing counties in the nation.
Henry County ranked third in
growth nationally, adding 9,280 people for a total of 139,699, or a rate
of 7.1 percent.
Forsyth County, north of Atlanta,
ranked fourth, adding 7,741 people, bringing its population to 116,924,
also a rate of 7.1 percent.
And Newton County, east of
Atlanta on I-20, made the list at No. 7 nationally, growing by 4,451 people
to 71,594.
Rockwell County in Texas, near
Dallas, recorded the fastest growth in the nation, at 7.9 percent.
Fayette County's growth was
still better than the state as a whole. Georgia grew by about 150,000
people during the period to about 8.5 million, the Census estimated, or
a rate of just 1.8 percent. That's significantly less than the record-setting
growth the state recorded in the late 1990s, and the first significant
slowdown in Georgia growth in more than a decade credited with the state's
struggling service economy, hit hard after 9/11 last year.
Chris Clark of the Fayette
County Development Authority said he wasn't surprised by Fayette's slow-growth
figures, citing the significant reduction in new housing starts in Peachtree
City as the community nears "build-out", and a county landuse
plan that restricts dense housing in unincorporated areas.
In fact, Clark said Fayette
County's lack of sewer service will continue to be the driving force in
controlling the rate of growth for years to come.
The county plan allows for
a rate of growth of about 3 to 4 percent a year, Clark said, and this
year's Census estimate is proof that Fayette's strategy is working.
Ironically, though, the population
estimate the development authority and other county agencies use for planning
purposes is significantly higher than the Census numbers, Clark said.
As of Jan. 1 of this year,
Fayette's population totaled 102,000, according to Clark's calculations.
He said the county uses similar methods as the Census to make the estimate,
including housing trends, demographics and economic factors. It also considers
the annual population estimates released by the Atlanta Regional Commission,
another compilation based on more speculation than hard evidence.
The ARC numbers for 2002, released
on April 1 this year, showed Fayette with 97,300 people. That estimate
reflects a growth rate of 3.3 percent from the previous year, higher than
the Census prediction.
Clark said Fayette's demographics
and a steady adherence to the land use plan in place should mean more
controlled, steady growth for years to come.
"We're really one of the
smallest counties in the state in land area, but because of the leadership
we've had and the type of growth we've sought out, we're in good shape
for the future," Clark said.
More detailed census figures
can be found at www.census.gov.







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