With the Senate in the hands
of the Mississippi car salesman and former CCC member, and the House under
the leadership of the Illinois pumpkin in a suit, Bush has free reign
now to push his programs through a sheepish Congress, so here are my further
predictions:
1. Federal spending: There
will be much noise but no movement as usual to decrease federal spending.
Actually making cuts would involve political capital, and that is not
on the Bush agenda. Look for increases in the defense budget, decreases
in anything that smacks of social services and no change in entitlements.
2. The Iraqi war: This is now
a non sequitur, having been milked to all the advantage possible. Bush
will fume over a resolution, clamor over an inability to verify, and in
the end do nothing because there is great danger here of large numbers
of American casualties, which would spell trouble for his domestic agenda.
3. Taxes: Hey, spending isn't
decreasing and we're decreasing taxes on those most able to pay and corporations,
so who will make up the difference? The answer is, nobody will because
like Reagan, Bush will run up huge deficits and transfer all those pesky
bills to future generations. His ability to blame the Democrats will be
somewhat reduced by their complete lack of governmental power, but that
won't stop the Texas prince from trying. Remember, he has the bully pulpit
and the enormous resources of corporate America.
4. The environment: With the
help of his fellow draft-dodger Saxby Chamblis now in the Senate, Bush
can push through lots of legislation to allow more irresponsible mining
on public lands, irresponsible lumbering on public lands, less stringent
control and enforcement of polluting companies and their surrogates, less
consumer protection, less of all protections built up over decades due
to the practices of rapacious big business, and more "business friendly"
laws for our long suffering Microsofts.
5. Labor: This one is a given.
No Bush ever liked a labor union unless it was in a communist country
giving the leadership there fits. Mr. Bush is now officially the lap dog
of corporate America and can really begin his massive attack on any remaining
protections for organized labor. Look for this attack on all fronts, whether
6. Social Security: Not a damn
thing will happen here. All those ideas of protecting seniors while allowing
younger people to invest part of their Social Security at market rates
will turn out to be a chimera. In order to do both, the government would
need more money and it will be collecting less. At the same time, doing
so would eliminate the government's ability to borrow from itself by stealing
the Social Security surplus. There is no "trust fund"; it's
cash in, cash out, and while the program is cash-rich, nobody is going
to change it. Too bad, really, because this is an idea that would work
over the long haul and one the Democrats were never likely to broach.
7. International relations:
Our image will continue to slide on the world scale as we appear to be
the superpower that only looks inward. This is the most frightful aspect
of the Bush presidency and one we would be stuck with regardless of congressional
control. Despite his rhetoric while seeking the job, Mr. Bush is not walking
humbly on the world stage. To the contrary he hardly seems to notice the
other actors. If we were talking strictly of our national security this
attitude would be understandable, but Bush seems to do it for other reasons.
This is a very dangerous course right now when we could use the rest of
the world on our side.
8. The next election: If Al
Gore runs he'll lose no matter what happens. If the Democrats can coalesce
behind a fresh face who is willing to call a bush a shrub, they might
have a shot. No need to worry, this Congress will overstep itself. With
a Republican, it's in their nature!
9. The Senate: Bush will sense
a mandate and start on his extremist program immediately. It will take
a while, but sooner or later he will alienate some of the moderate Northern
Republican senators, after which he will find the going a little slow.
Are there signs of hope? Not
really at the present time, but history must be played out, and there
is no predicting certain events. Madison expressed the need for an insulated
Senate, free from the "impulse of sudden and violent passions"
in Federalist 62. By a historical fluke, we arrived at a juncture in history
where the President could exert the impulse to sudden and violent passion
in a cynical ploy to alter an election. Ethically, I find its use very
questionable, but in a very practical sense, it did the job for him.
A conquering Roman general
would be given a "Triumph" upon his return to Rome. Wearing
his vestis triumphalis and a crown of laurel, the general's chariot would
be pulled by four horses through Rome while a slave standing behind him
held a golden crown over his head, whispering, "Remember: you are
only mortal." Nice tradition! Bush could certainly use the whisper
in the ear.
Timothy J. Parker
Peachtree City






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