The center's
quarterly consumer confidence survey topped 100 for the first time since
the last three months of 2000. The index peaked at 119 points during January-March
of 2000 and steadily declined to 88 by the end of 2001, in the midst of
the recession.
Nationally,
a similar survey by the University of Michigan showed slightly less enthusiasm
this month. But the score of 96 is the nation's highest level in six calendar
quarters.
Also, Kennesaw's
monthly purchasing managers index registered a 51, a huge improvement
from the 28 reading in November.
Generally a
reading of 45 or higher indicates growth in the manufacturing sector and
readings above 50 point to expansion across the general economy.
"This
recent reading on consumer sentiment is consistent with the Econometric
Center's forecast that economy activity troughed early this year and that
the economy began to expand at a modest pace over the past few months,"
said Roger Tutterow, director of the center.
"Even
as the recovery evolves, economic growth will likely remain at a lower
rate than seen in 1997-99 dues to softness in capital spending."
Indeed, consumers
surveyed said they still weren't rushing to buy big-ticket items at the
same pace as two or three years ago. And the factory purchasing executives
aren't reporting vigorous enough activity yet to warrant major capital
investments in production expansion.
However, another
piece of good news from the manufacturing survey is evidence of rising
factory hiring. Forty percent of the executives surveyed reported increased
employment.
Back
to Business Home Page






Easy button Return it to long suffering taxpayers including those who have paid huge tabs to educate other people's kids…