A combination
of computer power, radar power and man power helps forecasters at the
National Weather Service in Peachtree City predict potential floods for
the entire Southeast United States.
Meteorologists
and hydrometerologists use data from computerized radar screens and information
from field samples taken by volunteers to predict when a certain river
or major waterway could overflow, said John Feldt, the meteorologist in
charge of the local weather office. They also can predict how severe the
flooding could be, he added.
The more rainfall
an area has received in the weeks leading up to the heavy rainstorm, the
chances increase that the storm will cause flooding.
"We've
been so dry here that rain won't do much," Feldt said. "...
But if we've had some significant rainfall amount in the past few days
or month, we could be at risk for a flood."
The center
basically focuses on major rivers, with the nearest monitored river being
the Flint River. Other major Georgia rivers they keep an eye on include
the Oconee, the Chattahoochee and the Savannah.
Once an area
is projected to experience flooding, broadcast news agencies such as The
Weather Channel and CNN are contacted to alert the public in the area,
Feldt said.
"We can
give people time to protect their community," Feldt said. "...
The two biggest threats in a flash flood are people trying to drive their
cars across a flooded stream, and kids playing in and around flooded areas."
Weather officials
also keep emergency crews in the area up to date, giving them information
that can determine whether an evacuation is necessary. Even if emergency
officials call for an evacuation, it's important to tell them where not
to send evacuees due to possible floods in nearby areas, Feldt said.
"The real
threat is inland," Feldt said, explaining that was a lesson learned
during Hurricane Floyd in 1999. "We don't want to evacuate people
in one area of danger to a greater area of danger."
Flood forecasters
have also been asked to give briefings to the vice president of the United
States on occasion, Feldt noted.
"We also
give briefings to senators
In major flood
events, the weather service has a field survey team that can be sent out
to provide more data to be analyzed so the flood's stages can be tracked
closely, Feldt said.
Several clicks
of a mouse and taps on a keyboard, and Feldt calls up a color-coded map
showing the rainfall an area has received over the past 30 days. The computer
uses data from 22 different radars and overlays the estimated rainfall
from the radar system with data from field volunteers to make sure the
radar estimate is correct.
Radar simply
isn't as accurate as actual field samples, Feldt said. So the data from
volunteers is crucial, he added.
Each county
in the Southeast region typically has one or two volunteer observers.
Their data
and the radar results are combined to give the meteorologists and hydrometeorologists
ammunition to predict floods many hours in advance.
Sometimes,
the weather service's flood forecasting division can inform the Army Corps
of Engineers a day in advance of a potential flood so dams in the area
can let more water flow by before the storm event strikes, Feldt said.
While the flood
forecasters are particularly busy during hurricane season, they also have
a number of other projects they assist with, such as the management of
water reservoirs, predicting how much they will recharge over a given
period of time, Feldt said.
Water flow
data is also shared with utilities, such as Georgia Power, that use water
to generate electricity with hydrogenerators and need to withdraw water
from rivers to cool the turbines of nuclear power plants.
The office
is also providing data in the state "water wars" so state officials
can bargain over water management practices with other states. For more
information, visit the flood forecasting center's Web site, www.srh.noaa.gov/serfc .
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