Researchers at the Georgia
Tech Research Institute are testing and optimizing the
Severe Storms Laboratory's Next Generation Warning
Decision Support System during the 1999 and 2000 tornado
seasons. Though the test area is north Georgia, the study
results will be applicable throughout the state.
The NG-WDSS was installed
at the Weather Service's Peachtree City office earlier
this month, and two more systems will be deployed in GTRI
laboratories by the end of June.
"We will be optimizing
the system to reflect Georgia's environment," said
Gene Greneker, a research scientist who is heading GTRI's
recently established Severe Storms Research Center.
"Tornadoes in Georgia and elsewhere in the Southeast
are often short-lived events. They can come and go in 10
minutes, as opposed to an hour in Kansas. As a result,
the radar signal processing may need to be set slightly
different from those that were developed for the Great
Plains states where the NG-WDSS was first developed and
tested."
Optimizing the system will
involve researchers in collecting storm data and
determining if changing parameters in the NG-WDSS
algorithms will make it work better in Georgia.
NG-WDSS provides a set of
tools that help forecasters make more efficient,
effective and timely decisions on warning the public of
tornadoes, severe thunderstorms and flash floods. The
system includes advanced image processing, artificial
intelligence, neural network and other algorithms that
use Doppler radar data. The data are integrated with
other weather sensor data to guide forecasters.
Another important part of
the system is how it displays and presents information to
forecasters.
The NSSL, a part of the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, has
successfully tested NG-WDSS in various parts of the
country since 1996, when it operated as an advanced
system at Peachtree City during the Olympics. Because of
the expense of deploying the warning system, it will not
be fully implemented across the country for another five
to seven years, Greneker said.
But in Georgia, funding
from the Georgia Emergency Management Agency, the Federal
Emergency Management Agency and the Georgia General
Assembly allowed the Severe Storms Research Center to
contract with NSSL to deploy the warning systems
installed in Peachtree City and at Georgia Tech. Bell
South Business Systems also is providing funds, which
will pay for high speed data transmission lines.
An initial one year of
funding for Tech's research center, a three-year project,
followed recommendations made last year by former Gov.
Zell Miller's Task Force on Warning and Communication.
Miller formed the task force after severe storms claimed
23 lives in Georgia in 1998.
Gov. Roy Barnes has pledged
continued support for the project.
Forecasters and emergency
management officials believe that better warning systems,
such as the NG-WDSS, could lower those death tolls. In
addition to improving warning time, the system should
result in fewer false alarms.
"False alarms
desensitize the public to valid warnings," Greneker
said. "While the NG-WDSS will not totally eliminate
the false alarm problem, test data show that it can help
the problem."
When the NG-WDSS is
installed in GTRI's laboratories, researchers will begin
to test the system, Greneker said. Part of that effort
will include collecting data in the aftermath of
tornadoes. "This information will help us determine
how much warning the NG-WDSS provided before the tornado
touched down," Greneker explained.
So far this tornado season,
researchers have not been able to conduct many tests
because of the few number of severe storms.
"Other than the
tornadoes in Vienna and Metter, it's been a very quiet
tornado season (usually January to May) this year,"
Greneker said. "So it's given us a breather to get
the equipment installed. By next spring, we will be ready
to really test the system."
Meanwhile, the research
center is proceeding with other projects to improve
severe weather forecasting in Georgia. One study will
measure electrical discharge from cloud-to-cloud
lightning strikes. Researchers believe that increasing
amounts of electrical discharge indicate that a tornado
could be forming, Greneker explained.
When GEMA chose the Tech
research institute as the site for the Severe Storm
Research Center, it outlined its mission for the center.
That mission is to:
� Serve as a
quick-response information resource for weather and
emergency management agencies.
� Become an advanced
prototype facility.
� Develop and maintain a
database of severe storms dynamics.
� Develop a plan for
expanding Georgia's severe storm spotter network with
help from two-way radio-equipped public safety personnel.
� Provide real-time
information regarding tornado development or ground track
coordinates to the National Weather Service.
� Determine whether
tornadoes occur in certain areas of the state more often
than others. If so, forecasting resource improvements
would concentrate on these "tornado alleys."
� Work with agencies to
educate Georgians about floods and hurricanes; and
develop methods to quickly transmit flood and hurricane
effects data to county-level emergency managers.
� Provide information on
and evaluate advanced communications techniques for GEMA.
These efforts would improve the response and transmission
times for sending warning data to emergency managers.
� Develop a library of the
latest knowledge on severe storms, including theories on
their formation and trends in storm occurrence.
Availability of funding for
2000 and 2001 will determine whether the SSRC can fully
meet these goals, Greneker added.
The National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration also has posted a news release
related to the NG-WDSS project in Georgia. See it at
https://www.publicaffairs.
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