May 19 Fayette pandemic report: 11 days without a new hospital admission or a fatality

0
2500

Here’s the Covid-19 pandemic report from the Georgia Department of Public Health for 12:02 p.m., May 19.

SUMMARY: Testing reveals 5 new Covid-19 cases in Fayette County for a total of 211, but for the 13th day in a row, no new hospitalizations have occurred. For the 11th day in a row, no new fatalities are reported in Fayette.

Statewide, 543 new cases of Covid-19 have been reported, with 7 new fatalities, and a Georgia death rate of 4.2%.

One under-reported story is the positive test confirmation rate. It has been dropping steadily as more tests are rolled out and thousands more people get tested. The positive confirmation rate is now at its lowest since testing started: 10.2%. To put it another way, for every 100 people (many with symptoms) to be tested, under 11 people actually have the coronavirus illness, or about 1 in every 10.

Put positively, about 9 out of every 10 people who get tested find out they don’t have Covid-19 and can go about their normal business.

The DPH reporting is catching some heavy criticism from Atlanta media for some mistakes in numbers and inaccurate charts and graphs. The department has some issues with consistently making public on a dependable schedule its summary reports. For example, today’s schedule would have had a report at 9 a.m., then an updated report at 1 p.m. and then a final one for the day at 7 p.m. The numbers used in this report came from a status page made public at 12:02 p.m. today, but then DPH posted another one less than 1 hour later, without explanation.

What changed were an additional 87 new cases (in one hour?!?), an additional 15 deaths, an additional 25 hospitalizations, and an additional 5 new ICU admission. Those are not included in the tallies below. No numbers changed for Fayette or Coweta. Why the DPH can’t keep up with its own announced schedule is a continuing mystery.


GA total cases (noon) — 38,634 (+543); GA deaths — 1,649 (+7); death rate — 4.2%

ICU admissions (noon)  — 1,584 (+19); Hospitalizations — 7,002 (+86)

Total tests — 378,156 (+13,867)

Fayette cases — 211 (5 more cases than previous day’s total of 206); Fayette deaths — 11 (no deaths since May 8)

Fayette hospitalizations — 35 (no additional admissions since May 6)

Fayette death rate per 100K — 9.4


The graphs below represents a Fayette County report of cases over time in the first graph, and Fayette deaths over time just below that.


Graphs below show statewide cases over time and Covid-19 deaths over time. According to DPH, the Covid-19 cases over time “is meant to aid understanding whether the outbreak is growing, leveling off, or declining and can help to guide the Covid-19 response.”


Below is a DPH chart of Covid-19-related deaths that have occurred in Fayette County since the start of the pandemic. The chart now lists a total of 11 deaths, the result of the DPH as of May 14 reclassifying the death of an 89-year-old male with pre-existing medical conditions as not related to Covid-19. That victim was removed from the list of Covid-19 deaths May 15. The chart lists from left to right the age of the victim, the sex, the county, and yes or no or unknown as to whether the victim had an underlying medical condition:


Total test-confirmed cases statewide: 38,624 which is 542 more cases than the previous day’s total of 38,082, an increase of 1.4%. All of Georgia’s 159 counties are now reporting coronavirus cases. For perspective, more testing results in more cases being reported, which does not necessarily indicate whether a pandemic is increasing or decreasing in intensity.

Statewide deaths: 1,649, an increase of 7 fatalities over the previous day’s total of 1,642.

State Covid-19 death rate: 4.2% of all confirmed cases reported, slightly over 4 deaths for every 100 test-confirmed cases.

Fayette County: Confirmed infections  —  211 cases (5 more cases than the 206 reported on the previous day) with 11 deaths, unchanged from the previous day. Fayette’s confirmed case rate: 179.51 cases per 100,000 persons. Fayette death rate per 100,000 population: 9.4. Hospitalizations: 35, same as the previous day.

Coweta County: Confirmed infections  — 286 (2 more cases than the previous day’s 284) with 4 deaths. Coweta’s confirmed case rate: 188.16 cases per 100,000 persons. Coweta death rate per 100,000 population: 2.6. Hospitalizations: 48.

Hospitalized: 7,002 cumulative total of all Covid-19 hospitalizations statewide from the beginning of the pandemic to today, which is 18.1% of the total cumulative confirmed cases to date, compared to 6,916 cumulative total one day earlier, an increase of 86 newly hospitalized patients (increase of 1.2% over the previous day) across the state of Georgia. The data do not indicate how many patients that were admitted on previous days are actually still being treated in hospitals today.

Intensive care unit admissions: 1,584, which is 19 more new ICU patients than the previous day’s report of 1,565 across all reporting hospitals in Georgia.

Total coronavirus tests:  378,156 by private and state labs, which represents 13,867 (3.8%) more tests than the 364,289 tests in the previous report.

Total positive tests:  38,624 confirmations so far with all testing from both commercial and state labs, a positive confirmation rate of 10.2% of the total tests administered. The positive confirmation rate is now almost 1 out of 10, meaning that nearly 9 out of every 10 tests shows no presence of coronavirus.

Covid-19 in neighboring counties

Fulton —  3,757, 172 deaths; Clayton — 1,009 cases, 38 deaths; Henry — 628, 19 deaths; Coweta — 286 cases, 4 deaths; Spalding — 241 cases, 14 deaths;  Fayette — 211 cases, 11 deaths.

Top 5 counties with most deaths: Fulton, 172; Dougherty, 135; Cobb, 132; Gwinnett, 105; DeKalb, 86.


 


Here’s what the raw numbers of new hospital patients across the state of Georgia and the corresponding rates of hospitalization increase day over day look like:

• March 26 — 79 new patients, 20% increase over previous 24-hour period

• March 27 — 93 new patients, 19.9% increase over previous 24-hour period

• March 28 — 51 new patients, 9% increase over previous 24-hour period

• March 29 — 49 new patients, 7.9% increase over previous 24-hour period

• March 30 — 41 new patients, 6.1% increase over previous 24-hour period

• March 31 — 111 new patients, 15.7% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 1 — 134 new patients, 16.3% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 2 — 104 new patients, 10.9% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 3 — 102 new patients, 9.6% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 4 — 81 new patients, 6.9% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 5 — 44 new patients, 3.5% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 6 — 48 new patients, 3.8% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 7 — 442 new patients, 33.1% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 8 — 206 new patients, 11.6% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 9 — 179 new patients, 9% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 10 — 192 new patients, 8.8% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 11 — 128 new patients, 5.4% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 12 — 26 new patients, 1% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 13 — 81 new patients, 3.29% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 14 — 183 new patients, 7% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 15 — 153 new patients, 5.5% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 16 — 118 new patients, 4% increase over previous day’s report

• April 17 — 284 new patients, 9.3% increase over previous day’s report

• April 18 — 96 new patients, 2.8% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 19 — 44 new patients, 1.2% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 20 — 86 new patients, 2.4% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 21 — 229 new patients, 6.4% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 22 — 180 new patients, 4.7% increase over previous 24-hour period

• April 23 — 110 new patients, 2.7% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 24 — 152 new patients, 3.7% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 25 — 105 new patients, 2.4% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 26 — 33 new patients, 0.01% (one-tenth of 1 percent) increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 27 — 74 new patients, 1.6% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 28 — 345 new patients, 7.7% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 29 — 170 new patients, 3.5% increase over previous 24-hour period.

• April 30 — 162 new patients, 3.2% increase over the previous 24-hour period.

• May 1 — 108 new patients, 2.1% increase over the previous 24-hour period.

• May 2 — 122 new patients, 2.3% increase over the previous 24-hour period.

• May 3 — 53 new patients, 0.9% increase over the previous 24-hour period.

• May 4 —  36 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 0.6% over the previous day.

• May 5 —  145 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 2.6% over the previous day.

• May 6 —  135 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 2.4% over the previous day.

• May 7 —  86 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 1.5% over the previous day.

• May 8 —  91 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 1.5% over the previous day.

• May 9 —  95 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 1.6% over the previous day.

• May 10 —  13 newly hospitalized patients, increase of under 1% over the previous day.

• May 11 —  21 newly hospitalized patients, increase of less than 1% over the previous day.

• May 12 —  115 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 1.9% over the previous day.

• May 13 —  98 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 1.5% over the previous day.

• May 14 — 117 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 1.8% over the previous day.

• May 15 — 93 newly hospitalized patients, increase of 1.4% over the previous day.

• May 16 — 297 newly hospitalized patients; new ICU admissions are 20, statewide.

• May 17 — 55 newly hospitalized patients; new ICU admissions are 3, statewide.

• May 18 — 126 newly hospitalized patients; new ICU admissions are 8, statewide.

• May 19 — 86 newly hospitalized patients; new ICU admissions are 19, statewide.


Below is the daily progression of cumulative reported Covid-19 cases and fatalities in Fayette County:

March 9 — 1 case, no deaths

March 13 — 5 cumulative cases, no deaths

March 17 — 5 cumulative cases, no deaths

March 19 — 9 cumulative cases, no deaths

March 20 — cumulative 9 cases, 1 death (male, 83, other medical conditions)

March 22 — 9 cumulative cases, 1 death

March 23 — 10 cumulative cases, 1 death

March 24 — 12 cumulative cases, 1 death.

March 25 — 12 cumulative cases, 1 death

March 26 — 14 cumulative cases, 2 deaths (no new details provided)

March 27 — 19 cumulative cases, 2 deaths

March 28 — 25 cumulative cases, 2 deaths

March 29 — 26 cumulative cases, 3 deaths (male, 83; male, 79; female, 77; all with underlying medical conditions)

March 30 — 32 cumulative cases, 3 deaths

March 31 — 44 cumulative cases, 4 deaths (female, 51, NO underlying medical condition)

April 1 — 48 cumulative cases, 4 deaths

April 2 — 52 cumulative cases, 4 deaths

April 3 — 58 cumulative cases, 4 deaths

April 4 — 62 cumulative cases, 4 deaths

April 5 — 67 cumulative cases, 4 deaths

April 6 — 74 cumulative cases, 4 deaths

April 7 — 79 cumulative cases, 4 deaths

April 8 — 85 cumulative cases, 4 deaths

April 9 — 89 cumulative cases, 3 deaths (one fewer than reported earlier, no explanation given by DPH, though likely a reclassification of cause of death of one person)

April 10 — 92 cumulative cases, 4 deaths (subtraction yesterday and addition today unexplained by DPH)

April 11 — 94 cumulative cases (#26 in state), 4 deaths

April 12 — 99 cumulative cases (#26 in state), 4 deaths

April 13 —105 cumulative cases (#26 in state), 5 deaths

April 14 — 112 cumulative cases, (#27 in state), 5 deaths

April 15 — 120 cumulative cases (#26 in state), 5 deaths

April 16 — 123 cumulative cases (#26 in state), 5 deaths

April 17 — 133 cumulative cases (#27 in state), 5 deaths

April 18 — 135 cumulative cases (#27 in state) with 5 deaths

April 19 — 139 cumulative cases (#27 in state) with 5 deaths

April 20— 140 cumulative cases (#27 in state) with 5 deaths

April 21 — 144 cumulative cases (#28 in state) with 8 deaths

April 22 — 145 cumulative cases (#28 in state) with 8 deaths

April 23 — 152 cumulative cases (#29 in state) with 8 deaths.

April 24 — 156 cumulative cases (#29 in state) with 8 deaths.

April 25 — 158 cumulative cases (#29 in state) with 8 deaths

April 26 — 161 cumulative cases (#31 in state) with 8 deaths

April 27 — 165 cumulative cases (#30 in state) with 8 deaths.

April 28 — 170 cumulative cases with 9 deaths; 29 hospitalizations.

April 29 — 171 cumulative cases with 9 deaths; 32 hospitalizations.

April 30 — 180 cumulative cases with 10 deaths; 33 hospitalizations.

May 1 — 177 (DPH revised number) cumulative cases with 10 deaths, 33 hospitalizations

May 2 — 180 cumulative cases with 10 deaths, 35 hospitalizations

May 3 — 182 cumulative cases with 10 deaths, 35 hospitalizations

May 4 — 188 cumulative cases with 10 deaths, 35 hospitalizations

May 5 — 185 cumulative cases (unexplained decline) with 10 deaths, 35 hospitalizations

May 6 — 194 cumulative cases with 10 deaths, 36 hospitalizations

May 7 — 188 cumulative cases (unexplained decline) with 11 deaths, 36 hospitalizations.

May 8 — 190 cumulative cases with 12 deaths, 36 hospitalizations.

May 9 — 194 cumulative cases with 12 deaths, 36 hospitalizations.

May 10 — 199 cumulative cases with 12 deaths, 36 hospitalizations.

May 11 — 200 cumulative cases with 12 deaths, 36 hospitalizations.

May 12 — 201 cumulative cases with 12 deaths, 36 hospitalizations.

May 13 — 202 cumulative cases with 12 deaths, 36 hospitalizations.

May 14 — 201 cumulative cases with 11 deaths, 35 hospitalizations (unexplained subtraction of 1 case, 1 death and 1 hospitalization from county totals).

May 15 — 205 cumulative cases with 11 deaths, 35 hospitalizations.

May 16 — 206 cumulative cases with 11 deaths, 35 hospitalizations.

May 17 — 207 cumulative cases with 11 deaths, 35 hospitalizations.

May 18 — 206 cumulative cases with 11 deaths, 35 hospitalizations.

May 19 — 211 cumulative cases with 11 deaths, 35 hospitalizations.